Over the past year Utah legislators and Governor Herbert have provided multiple excuses for adopting radical and risky tax reform measures in our state. Each of these excuses have been debunked as incorrect or greatly exaggerated. (See “Debunked Myths of Tax Reform“) The last excuse being advanced is the claim that the Tax Reform Bill will reduce Utah taxes by $160M over the next two fiscal years. This, like all of the other excuses, is a myth.
The Tax Reform Bill is not a tax cut. Base on analysis by Utah Legislative Watch, if allowed to stand, the tax reform bill will increase the tax burden on Utahans by $330 million dollars during fiscal years 2020 and 2021. ULW’s research found that, in order to arrive at the claimed $160M tax saving figure, the Legislature has grossly underestimated the effect of new taxes and grossly overestimated, or misstated, the claimed income tax savings.
The most obvious error in the accounting is that it counts, as a tax cut, adjustments to our state income tax codes that are two years overdue.
You may remember that the federal government passed sweeping tax reform in 2018. Among other things, the new federal law eliminated personal exemptions. Utah lawmakers failed to adjust for the federal changes, effectively raising Utah income taxes by $120M in 2018. The legislature failed to act again in 2019, costing Utahans at least another $120M in increased income taxes. The Tax Reform Bill finally makes the adjustments (effective for 2020) that are two years overdue. Incredibly, however, the Legislature and our Governor are claiming that this long overdue correction is a $132M tax cut.
Let’s do the math:
2018 Increase due
to Inaction: $120M
2019 Increase due
to Inaction: $120M
2020 Increase if
no Action: $132M
Action finally taken: ($132M)
Total Effect $240M – (OVER-TAX SINCE 2018)
The claimed $160M tax cut is nothing more than a shell game. By not honestly reflecting the effect of legislative inaction since 2018, our lawmakers and Governor have re-branded a $240M income tax increase into a claimed $132M tax cut. This single adjustment, alone, debunks any claim that the Tax Reform Bill is a tax cut. The Tax Reform Bill is radical, risky, and unneeded. Contrary to claims made by the Legislature and our Governor, it is also a massive tax increase. Utah deserves better.
Over the past year, our Legislature and the Governor’s Office have tried to convince Utah Citizen’s that our tax system is in crisis and must be fixed. Each of the excuses given to try to justify radical and risky tax reform have been debunked by the the State’s own data and experts. Let’s review:
EXCUSE 1: Utah is
facing a “fiscal cliff” because sale tax collections are declining.
FALSE! Data from the Utah State Tax Commission clearly shows that sales tax collections have been steadily increasing, and are at record levels.
EXCUSE 2: Sales of taxable goods are declining. Therefore, we must tax services.
FALSE! While it is true that the mix of goods to services has declined since the 1960’s, the decline largely occurred between the mid 1980’s and 2000. Since the mid 2000’s, the mix has stabilized and sale of taxable goods in recent years is rising. Moreover, lawmakers already adjusted for the change in the mix by raising the sales tax rate years ago.
EXCUSE 3: The General Fund is not growing fast enough!
FALSE! As pointed out in a report from the Office of the Utah State Auditor, taxable sales and sales tax collections (without taxing services) has kept pace with Utah’s economy for the past 50 years. More importantly, the report pointed out that the perception of slow growth in the General Fund is a result of the deceptive practice of Legislative Earmarking, which diverts money from the General Fund and, therefore, improperly skews the numbers.
EXCUSE 4: We aren’t
collecting enough money to provide for Utah’s growing population.
FALSE! Dollar for dollar tax collections, since 2010, have grown nearly 70% while Utah’s population has grown roughly 14% in the same period. We don’t have a tax collection problem, our State government has a spending problem!
EXCUSE 5: We have an allocation problem.
FALSE! While it is true that Utah’s Constitution limits taxes on income for the support of education, this hasn’t created a crisis. As noted above, when properly accounted for, we are collecting more than enough taxes to fund government programs. After all, for fiscal years 2018 through 2019, Utah has run a $1.6 Billion dollar surplus, has an economy that is the envy of the nation, and has a AAA bond rating, all achieved under the current tax system. Utah’s tax system is NOT in crisis.
EXCUSE 6: We had to solve the allocation problem, so we had to pass this Bill in a Special Session.
FALSE! The Bill passed in the Special Session does result in $500M being moved from the Education Fund to the General Fund. However, last five pages of the Bill also appropriates the same $500M TO PAY FOR EDUCATION! So, how does this solve the so called “allocation problem,” and why did we need a 200 page bill to spend the money in the exact same way we would have if no bill had been passed?
EXCUSE 7: The Tax Reform Bill that was passed is a tax cut!
FALSE! This is, perhaps, the biggest falsehood of all. Analysis of the fiscal note of the Bill reveals that certain items have been left out of the computation or have been seriously under or overestimated, which make the Bill look like a tax cut on paper. The Tax Reform Bill is not a tax cut. This myth will be further explained in a subsequent article. Stay Tuned!
Utah Legislative Watch Director, Brett W. Hastings, was honored to participate in a tax reform Round Table sponsored by Keep My Voice, a conservative organization founded to advocate for Utah’s historic caucus system. The panel included State Senator Curtis Bramble (R-Utah/Wasatch County), State Representative Robert Spendlove (R-Salt Lake County), and State Auditor John Dougal. Other panel members included Rusty Cannon, Vice President of the Utah Taxpayers Association, and tax attorney Spencer Evans. The parties appeared to come to a consensus that, although Utah’s tax system can be improved, Utah is not facing a tax crisis, and implementing a broad sales tax on services is risky, and the least desirable of all the potential ideas proposed to reform Utah’s tax system. Watch the full roundtable here.
Utah Legislative Watch is in the process of reviewing hundreds of pages of documents and communications requested from both the Legislative and Executive Branches of our State government. The information requests, filed under Utah’s Government Records Access and Management Act (“GRAMA”) were issued to reveal who commissioned and paid for the very one-sided propaganda materials presented by the Tax Reform Task Force. These materials suggest that Utah’s tax system is broken and must be fixed, an assertion not supported by Utah tax data.
Although a complete review has not yet been completed, one disturbing fact that has emerged is that the information was commissioned and paid for by the Governor’s Office of Management and Budget (Utah’s Executive Branch) and was then provided to the Legislative Tax Reform Task Force for dissemination across the State.
As more fully detailed in an article by the St. George News, Utah Legislative Watch is questioning why our Executive and Legislative branches of government colluded to produce a very one-sided, and misleading, message.
Collusion between our Executive and Legislative branches of government should be troubling to all Utahans. The three branches of government are are specifically designed to act as a check and balance on each other. They should not collude to spin a message to convince the public that a crisis exists, when one does not. Government and politics is an area of ideas. If data and messaging are manipulated, there can be no fair debate. Without a fair debate, only bad policy will follow.
Utah Legislative Watch (“ULW”) has confirmed that the polished brochures, video, and website, marketed under the moniker StrongerFutures.Utah.gov, and presented in eight public meetings around the State by the Tax Reform Task Force, was commissioned and paid for by the Governor’s Office of Management and Budget.
“Ever since the information was presented by the Task Force at the first meeting in Brigham City, we have wondered where it came from, who produced it, and for what reason,” said Brett Hastings, Director of ULW.
In an effort to answer these questions,
Utah Legislative Watch issued information requests to the Utah House of
Representatives, Utah Senate, the Legislative Office of Fiscal Analyst, as well
as the Governor’s Office, under Utah’s Government Records Access and Management
Although the requested documents have yet
to be released, the Records Officers of both the Utah House and Senate
confirmed to ULW that the information was produced by Penna Powers,
Inc., a local marketing and public
relations firm, at the request of the Governor’s Office of Management and
“We are anxious to receive the requested
documents from the Legislature and the Governor’s Office,” said Tenna Hartman,
a co-founder of ULW, “the problem is the Legislature is demanding thousands of
dollars before they will release the information.”
In an effort to raise the funds demanded
by the Legislature, ULW recently launched a Go Fund Me
campaign asking for donations to secure release of the requested
documents. “All of the funds will be
used only to pay the amounts demanded by the Legislature for the GRAMA requests,”
said Ms. Hartman, “It’s really disturbing that Utah taxpayers have to pay for
information from our government that should be provided for free.”
ULW was one of the first citizen groups
to raise doubts about the Penna Powers materials that claim Utah’s tax system
is outdated and must be reformed. “The
information commissioned by the Governor’s Office of Management and Budget was
clearly not designed for a ‘listening tour,’” commented Hastings, “It is
basically propaganda designed to convince Utah Citizens that Utah is facing an
imminent fiscal crisis. Nothing could be
further from the truth.”
Despite this warning, the Task Force
continued to tour the State and present the questionable Penna Powers marketing
materials to the public with no mention of any dissenting opinions.
ULW is also raising questions about the
propriety of using Utah.gov, the official website of the State of Utah, to
disseminate the Penna Powers information to the Utah public. “Using Utah’s official website to spread the
Penna Powers materials gives the false impression that everyone in our State government
agrees that Utah’s tax system is outdated.
This simply isn’t true.” Hastings said.
ULW expects to confirm the cost of the Penna Powers materials once the requested documents are received from the Utah Legislature and Governor’s Office of Management and Budget. “I anticipate the cost will be in the hundreds of thousands of dollars,” said Hastings. “This should be concerning to every Utah citizen since it appears that our tax dollars have been used to produce a one-sided message to convince us that our government needs to tax us more.”
ULW also hopes the GRAMA documents will shed light on how, and why, the Legislature and the Governor’s Office appear to have colluded in developing and presenting the one-sided Penna Powers materials during the Task Force’s listening tour of the State.
Ever since the very first meeting of the Tax Reform Task Force in Brigham City, Utah on June 25th, Utah Legislative Watch has been raising the alarm about misinformation and group-think being used to push a false message that Utah’s tax system is broken.
We aren’t the only one with this opinion. On July 8, 2019, David Stringfellow, the Chief Economist of the State Auditor’s Office, in his role as a private citizen, publicly warned the Tax Reform Task Force that the Stronger Futures Utah information was faulty. Stringfellow says the information being pushed by the Tax Reoform Task Force is “wrong” and “a bad forecast.” Link to Salt Lake Tribune article is provided below.
Despite being charged with the task of “verifying the challenge,” our policymakers have used the town hall meetings, and Utah tax dollars, as a propaganda campaign to convince Utah citizens that Utah’s tax system is in peril and must be saved! The source of the propaganda campaign, marketed under the obviously leading moniker “strongerfutures.utah.gov,” is shrouded in mystery. Who commissioned it? Has the data presented in the campaign been vetted? How much did it cost? All legitimate questions, considering that no money was appropriated for use by the Task Force to produce the materials. ULW has been looking into these questions and has submitted several GRAMA requests in hopes of finding answers. Stay tuned.
The deplorable Washington D.C. style tactics and continued false statements associated with HB441, and the tax reform debate, have seriously harmed Utahan’s trust in our State government. A terrible fact our policy-makers seemingly dismiss or willfully ignore.
The Task Force propaganda campaign is misinformation based on bad data and bad forecasts, all funded by our tax dollars. This should concern, if not infuriate, every Utah citizen!
Over the past several weeks, the Tax Reform Taskforce has been touring the state claiming that Utah’s Tax system is broken and must be fixed. There’s just one problem, the claim is simply not true! The information being presented at the town hall meetings is misleading at best, and absolutely false, at worst. Utah tax collections are at all-time highs! We are collecting more tax in Utah that ever before, with all indications that this will continue. In fact, Utah had a $1.1 Billion surplus just last year! Utah is expecting hundreds of millions of dollars of new sales tax receipts from large online retailers such as Amazon.com. It’s not Utah’s tax system that is broken, it is Utah’s political system. Please contact your representatives and demand that they STOP the misinformation! Learn more in this OpEd published in the Salt Lake Tribune.
Utah Legislative Watch was organized in response to efforts by Utah lawmakers to secretly pass HB441, a massive expansion of Utah tax policy that would have devastated Utah’s economy. Luckily, a handful of Utah citizens raised the alarm and HB441 was scrapped, at least for the moment. Learn more by watching this short video.